Polymarket · live · 30 s refresh

What the crowd is pricing right now.

The most traded prediction markets, ranked by the last 24 hours of volume. Every number is a probability the market itself is willing to pay for, not a pundit's guess.

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Your wallet

A watchlist that follows your wallet.

Connect read-only and star any market on the board. Your watchlist is kept under your address in this browser and shows live odds for just those markets.

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How odds work

A price is a probability.

A "Yes" share pays $1 if the event happens. If the crowd trades it at 68¢, the crowd thinks there is roughly a 68% chance. Volume tells you how much money stands behind that opinion.

Why the two sides add to about $1

Yes plus No pays exactly $1 at resolution, so their prices sit near $1 together. A gap is the spread market makers charge.

Liquidity vs volume

Volume is what traded. Liquidity is what you could trade now without moving the price. Thin liquidity means the odds can jump on small orders.

Closest calls

Markets near 50% are where opinion is split; they move the most on news.

Near certain

Markets above 90% pay little but reveal what the crowd treats as settled.

Ending soonest

Resolution date matters: a 60% market ending tomorrow is a different bet from one ending next year.